Originally Posted by
Oddquine
As all elections have shown, both for governments and party positions, that means making promises they can't (or don't intend) keep in order to get support....and they all talk as if they are bound to win. No politician ever says "if", they always say "when"..and if you heard all the candidates' speeches, they all have crystal balls. By the way an, as yet unelected, deputy leader is NOT "the SNP", any more than Alex Salmond was, or Nicola is. They are simply candidates for the deputy leadership and will be only one voice however much they try to puff themselves up.
I rather think there will be another indyref... because I can't see any way for Brexit to take place without Scotland brexiting as well, no matter how many talks May has trying to put off the day she has to initiate Article 50.
It'll be after Article 50 is initiated and before the end of the two year time frame, I should think......and won't likely be two years long this time....but I suppose that will depend on the polls over the piece. There is certainly an appetite for indy2 among the pro-indy people...it hasn't really gone away..and it was in the SNP manifesto, so everybody knew it was possibly coming after the Brexit vote....it isn't the SNP's fault that England and Wales voted for Brexit.
Re a monarchy referendum....after indy, at some stage, there will be a political party with one in its manifesto. it isn't any great priority in the scheme of things now any more than it was last time, however much deputy leadership candidates posture.
The currency situation is already being looked at afaik, because of the foot-stamping by Westminster last time.
Re trade deals with England...who cares? If we lose jobs because rUK won't trade with us, then the other side of the coin is that they will lose jobs if we don't trade with them. It would actually help rUK's balance of trade to trade with us once we are independent, given we import more from them than we export to them (given the oil and gas isn't counted).....because England, of the four home nations, is the only one which imports more than it exports (even with the oil and gas).
I'm sure the SNP has plans for coping with stagnant home growth, the EU in financial turmoil and UK suffering post Brexit after shocks, which is more, as far as I can see than Westminster does. We'll both have to wait and see how they both manage the problems wished upon us...because what the SNP does rather depends on what policies Westminster puts in place first, doesn't it?
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