Latest Poll results

''Topline voting intention figures from the YouGov MRP model are CON 39%, LAB 34%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 5%. The fieldwork was Sun-Thursday last week, with just over 40,000 respondents.
The aim of an MRP model is not really the vote shares though, the whole point of the technique is project shares down to seat level, and project who would win each seat. The model currently has the Conservatives winning 321 seats, Labour 250, the Liberal Democrats 16 and the SNP 39. Compared to the 2017 election the Conservatives would make a net gain of just 4 seats, Labour would lose 12 seats, the Liberal Democrats would gain 4 and the SNP would gain 4. It would leave the Conservatives just shy of an overall majority.''

Make of it what you will.

All hell has broken loose since that poll and analysis. The Tories are 11% ahead of Labour in the YouGov poll of 22-23 February. This gap rises to 13% if The Independent Group are included in the poll. Labour are then on 23% with TIG on 18%. This is all very hypothetical of course but Labour are in a mess.

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.ne...Trackers_w.pdf

This month’s polls for Westminster elections are all over the shop. Labour are claimed to be up to 10% ahead. One or two show the Tories 1% ahead. The Brexit party has stirred the pot even further.

For the EU election, one poll has Labour 15% ahead of the Tories, another has the Brexit party 1% ahead of Labour.

Even the SNP’s support isn’t as stable as it was.

Strange times we live in.